Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Expert's Opinion - a perspective

You name it and you find a expert in that field..stock market..cricket..war..epidemic...All experts have one thing in common..they act like astrologers..they predict. But they also differ from astrologer..the experts predict based on past data..meaning all future performances are related to past performances..there can't be any surprises..while astrologer is exactly opposite..she predicts the surprises..

In a sense an expert says that nothing new can be done . You only have the option of choosing one of what has already been done.. If you choose to do something which hasn't been tried out, you are being foolish as probability of the action turning out to be successful is zero...and in experts' opinion it is a cardinal sin to do something whose expected value is zero.!!!

What does an astrologer say? Whatever has been your past, there is a strong hope that you fortunes might take a turn for better! Go ahead , take a plunge, your lucky days are ahead..

Tell me who sounds better...

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